Gasoline demand impacts ARA oil product stocks

London, 23 August (Argus) — Oil products held in independent storage tanks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub fell by 1.3pc this week to 5.41mn t, prompted by a sharp fall in gasoline and naphtha inventories.

Gasoline stocks fell by 14.3pc on the week to 772,000t, the lowest level recorded since October 2017. Tankers left the ARA area for Argentina, Canada, Puerto Rico, the US and west Africa. High gasoline demand from inland Germany, resulting from unplanned refinery outages, drew in volumes from the ARA area and deepened the stock draw. Tankers arrived from Norway, Poland, Sweden and the UK.

Naphtha stocks also fell heavily, dropping by 17pc on the week to 307,000t. The reduction in inventories was caused by steady demand from key outlets and a lack of incoming tankers. No cargoes arrived from the Mediterranean, with the sole arriving tanker coming from Denmark. None were recorded leaving the area. Demand from inland petrochemical end-users recovered, with falling temperatures enabling steam cracker operators to return to running their machinery at full capacity.

Gasoil stocks rose by 3.3pc to 2.59mn t, the highest level since the start of April, as low Rhine water levels continued to constrain product movement in the region. Typically, weekly gasoil barge inflows to Germany total around 160,000t but they amounted to less than 90,000t during the week today according to PJK International’s Rhine Flow Service. The influx of middle distillates into Europe from both transatlantic and east of Suez refiners has also been firm, with market participants pegging total arrivals into Europe at some 3.5mn-4mn t in August. The Yasa Hawk is currently on route to Amsterdam, laden with a 40,000t diesel cargo, according to Argus tracking. The tanker departed Texas City on the US Gulf coast on 15 August.

Jet fuel stocks fell by 1.1pc to 647,000t. At least 180,000t of jet fuel arrived into Rotterdam today on vessels from China and the UAE, although neither vessel had offloaded at the time of writing. Imports into northwest Europe from east of Suez and the US are set to be high for the rest of August. But peak summer buying interest is fading as high trade activity throughout the month has mostly filled August demand. Consequently, stocks are expected to rise. Shell has provisionally booked at least three tankers to take ARA jet fuel to Scandinavia at the end of the month.

Fuel oil inventories increased by 4.5pc to 1.1mn t, amid low outflows. A single suezmax left the ARA area for Singapore during the week to today, and tankers arrived in the area from France and Russia.

Reporter: Thomas Warner

ARA oil product stocks fall marginally

London, 2 August (Argus) — Oil products held in independent storage tanks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub fell by 0.6pc this week to 5.67mn t, prompted by the departure of a 270,000t fuel oil cargo and rising naphtha consumption.

The departure of the VLCC Fida on 27 July weighed on fuel oil stocks, which fell by 10.3pc to 1.2mn t today. The 270,000t cargo is set to discharge in Ningbo-Zhoushan in China, according to vessel tracking data. A smaller cargo also left for the Mideast Gulf. Fuel oil cargoes arrived from the Black Sea, Finland, France, Poland and Russia.

Naphtha stocks also fell heavily on the week. Inventories declined by 10.6pc to 328,000t on an uptick in demand from gasoline blenders in the ARA region and continued firm demand from petrochemical end-users. Rising demand and ongoing supply tightness in the Mediterranean region have strengthened northwest European naphtha pricing, narrowing its discount to benchmark North Sea Dated to 69¢/bl on 1 August from $1.25/bl a week earlier.

Gasoline stocks rose by 3.1pc week on week to 974,000t, with rising prices in the ARA area attracting cargoes and impacting outflows. Tankers arrived from Denmark, France, Italy, Spain and Sweden. European gasoline was shipped to Canada, Mexico, Puerto Rico, the US and west Africa. But the outgoing cargoes were generally smaller than those that arrived. Fresh fixtures emerged during the week for delivery to west Africa and the US, where demand is firming.

Jet fuel stocks rose by 5pc on the week to 692,000t. The Kleon arrived into Rotterdam on 27 July with 90,000t of jet fuel from Ruwais. The Nord Dolphin arrived into Antwerp yesterday, also with 90,000t of jet fuel from Ruwais, but does not yet appear to have unloaded. Seasonally strong demand from the aviation sector brought jet fuel barge and pipeline utilisation to near maximum levels. A single cargo left the ARA area for the UK.

Gasoil stocks increased by 3.9pc to 2.49mn t. Cargoes continued to arrive from the Mideast Gulf, but high Rhine freight rates have impacted demand from the European hinterland. Demand from the agricultural and heating sectors was already lower owing to the high temperatures and lack of rain, which have affected harvests.

Reporter: Thomas Warner

ARA oil product stocks decline

London, 26 July (Argus) — Oil products held in independent storage tanks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub declined this week because of a large drop in gasoline inventories.

Gasoline stocks dropped by more than 12pc week on week, largely because of a high level of exports. European gasoline was shipped to the Mideast Gulf, Latin America, the US and west Africa, where demand rose significantly compared with the prior week. Exporters have been facing increasingly unworkable spot arbitrage economics between Europe and the US. But stocks in the US dropped to the lowest level since 11 May this week, which will likely stimulate transatlantic exports.

Fuel oil stocks also fell, dropping by 2.5pc from the prior week. The VLCC Nisalah finished loading fuel oil from Rotterdam and departed for Singapore, resulting in a decline in inventories. Imported volumes increased, partially offsetting the impact of exports on stocks. No new VLCC bookings have surfaced so far this week as the economics for exporting fuel oil to Asia-Pacific weakened.

Jet fuel stocks dropped by 5pc from the prior week as no product was imported and demand remained strong. Arrivals from east of Suez and the US were offloaded into other ports in northwest Europe, including Le Havre.

Gasoil stocks increased despite unviable US Gulf coast diesel arbitrage economics to northwest Europe. Product continued to arrive from the Mideast Gulf and a flurry of MR tanker bookings have emerged in recent days to load Baltic diesel for European discharge, which is likely to keep the European gasoil market well-supplied. Inland demand remains firm, but persistently low Rhine water levels have reduced barge loading capacity and drove barge freight rates higher, contributing to the increase in stocks.

And naphtha stocks rose marginally, climbing by just 1,000t on the week. The ARA region imported the product from France, Portugal, Sweden and the UK during the week. Demand from European gasoline blenders rose slightly, offsetting the impact of comparatively high imports.

ARA independent product stocks up

London, 19 July (Argus) — Oil products held in independent storage tanks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub rose by 6pc week on week to 5.8mn t today.

The increase was mostly driven by a 13pc rise in total fuel oil inventories, but stocks of most other oil product rose as barge freight rates continue to rise, weighing on demand. Barge freight rates on the Rotterdam-Karlsruhe route increased by 26pc on the week to $24/t and are now at their highest level since at least July 2017. Jet fuel stocks fell amid high seasonal demand.

Fuel oil inventories rose with no very large crude carriers (VLCCs) departing the area in the week to today. The VLCC Stallion, chartered by South Korea’s SK Energy to carry a 270,000t cargo to Singapore, was loading during the reporting period. The VLCC Fida, chartered by Shell to also carry a 270,000t cargo to Singapore, began loading on 14 July. Smaller cargoes left the area for the Mideast Gulf and the Mediterranean. Stored volumes were supported by cargoes arriving from the Black Sea, France, Russia, Spain and the UAE.

Gasoil inventories rose by 2.5pc, supported by an influx of diesel arriving from the UAE on board the VLCC Stallion. The newbuild was chartered by Asia-Pacific trading firm Winson Oil to carry a 270,000t ultra-low sulphur diesel (ULSD) cargo to northwest Europe from Fujairah, arriving 10 July. The tanker partially discharged via ship-to-ship transfer offshore Southwold in the UK, before unloading fully in the port of Rotterdam, and being chartered to carry fuel oil to Singapore.

As with other products, the high Rhine barge freight rates impacted gasoil outflows. Barge freight rates on at least one route rose to double the cost of the equivalent pipeline transfer. Cargoes arrived from Russia, Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

Gasoline inventories rose by 9pc. Transatlantic outflows remained at the levels seen in recent weeks but outgoing volumes to west Africa were lower on the week. Cargoes departed the ARA area for Canada, Latin America, the US and west Africa. Cargoes arrived from Finland, France, Norway and the UK.

Naphtha stocks rose by 3pc, supported by rising volumes of cargo arriving from Algeria. Demand from inland petrochemical end-users firmed on the week as falls in underlying crude prices boosted cracking margins. Cargoes arrived from Algeria, France, Portugal, Russia and the UK. None left the area during the reporting period.

Jet kerosine stocks fell by 1.8pc as demand remained strong through the peak summer flying season. And buying interest for jet fuel barges in the ARA increased, with market participants seeking to move volumes to regional airports. The Sti Precision arrived into Rotterdam on 13 July with 65,000t of jet fuel from Bahrain. A single cargo departed the ARA hub for the UK.

Reporter: Thomas Warner

ARA independent product stocks fall on the week

London, 12 July (Argus) — Oil products held in independent storage tanks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub fell by 2pc week on week to 5.5mn t today.

The decrease was prompted by a 20pc fall in total fuel oil inventories. Other oil product stocks rose, as low water levels on the Rhine continued to weigh on flows.

Fuel oil inventories fell although no very large crude carriers were reported leaving ARA this week. Cargoes — including two loaded on the Suezmaxes the Bouboulina and the Delta Hellas — departed for the Mideast Gulf, the Mediterranean and Singapore. Cargoes arrived from Estonia, Russia, the UK and Canada. Inflows from Canada are sporadic and tend to be high sulphur fuel oil.

The VLCC Fida is due to begin loading fuel oil from Rotterdam on 14 July.

Naphtha recorded the highest rise in percentage terms. Stocks rose by 11pc amid weaker demand from gasoline and petrochemical end-users. Around half the usual volume left the ARA on barges amid higher Rhine freight costs, which hit their highest since August 2017. Cargoes arrived from Algeria, Norway, Portugal, Russian and the UK.

Gasoil inventories rose by 5pc on weaker demand for heating oil and industrial gasoil. Gasoil cargoes arrived in the ARA area from Russia, the UAE and the US. Tankers departed for the Mediterranean and the UK.

Jet kerosine stocks rose by 4pc, reaching their highest since 16 November 2017. Demand for jet kerosine is seasonally steady but outflows were limited by barge loading restrictions. A 70,000t cargo arrived from Saudi Arabia, and two tankers left the ARA area for Norway and the UK.

Gasoline inventories were broadly stable, rising by less than 1pc. Outflows to North America were healthy, at around 185,000t, but outgoing volume was offset by inflows from the Mediterranean and northwest Europe. Cargoes also departed the ARA area for the Mideast Gulf and the Mediterranean. Cargoes departed the ARA for Argentina, Canada, Latin America, west Africa and the US. Cargoes arrived from Denmark, France, Italy, Spain and the UK.

Reporter: Thomas Warner

ARA independent product stocks edge up

London, 28 June (Argus) — Oil product stocks held in independent storage tanks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub rose by 2pc week on week to reach 5.7mn t today.

The increase in total stocks was driven by a 5pc rise in fuel oil inventories to around 1.61mn t, the highest level on record. The rise in fuel oil inventories resulted from high levels of incoming cargo and volume awaiting loading onto two very large crude carriers (VLCCs) currently docked in Rotterdam.

Fuel oil cargoes arrived in ARA over the last week from the Black Sea, Estonia, Norway and Russia. Cargoes left the area for the Mediterranean.

Gasoil stocks were steady. Demand from inland Germany firmed on the week but remains below the seasonal average. Low Rhine water levels impacted diesel and gasoil loadings, which are at around 70pc of their normal levels. Diesel demand from France and Switzerland was firm amid lower inventories in the two countries. Gasoil cargoes arrived in the ARA area from Russia, the US and west Africa. Cargoes left for France, Germany, Portugal and the UK.

Naphtha stocks recorded the largest percentage rise, increasing by 7pc amid weakening demand from petrochemical end users and a lack of interest from gasoline blenders. Barge loadings restrictions on the river Rhine also affected Naphtha flows. Cargoes arrived from Algeria, Russia, Spain and the UK.

Jet kerosine stocks were steady amid stable demand. A 90,000t cargo arrived in the ARA area from Yanbu, discharging on 25 June in Antwerp. A single cargo left the area for the UK.

Gasoline inventories declined slightly amid rising transatlantic exports and higher outflows to other European markets. Cargoes departed ARA for Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Latin America, the US and west Africa. Cargoes arrived from Italy, Lithuania, Norway, Sweden and the UK.

Reporter: Thomas Warner 

Traders Race to Move ARA Diesel Up Rhine as River Dries: PJK

(Bloomberg) — Rhine barge flows of diesel/gasoil have
increased to 150k tons a week (~160k b/d) from lows of less than 100k tons/week in May, Lars van Wageningen, operations manager at PJK International, says by phone.
* “Demand is quite high due to falling water levels. Quite some diesel is flowing inland,” Wageningen says, adding that flows expected to continue rising into next week.
* READ: Barge rates to Basel surge amid falling water levels.
* Says backwardation in gasoil last 2 months significantly limited demand for shipments up the Rhine, but shift into contango has reversed that trend and is now encouraging stockpiling.
** NOTE: 1M-2M contango stood at $1/ton on Thursday, compared with $4.25 of backwardation a month ago: ICE Futures Europe data.
* Van Wageningen sees inland demand staying strong in coming months ahead as “hardly any winter gasoil stockpiling was done during the period of backwardation”.
* Diesel/gasoil flows surged to 250k tons in March, highest this year, when cold weather prompted a surge in gasoil flows to meet high heating demand.
* Gasoline and component flows are mixed between flows up and down the Rhine but generally about 25k tons per week of gasoline, components are sent to ARA.
* Also says jet fuel flows inland to Germany have increased in recent weeks to about 10k-15k tons per week; inland market mostly served by pipeline.
** NOTE: Figures compiled by PJK are for total Rhine flows; almost all diesel/gasoil Rhine barge flows inland from ARA, while gasoline/components can flow in both directions; naphtha also travels inland while fuel oil is exported to ARA.
Reporter: Bill Lehane

ARA independent product stocks fall

London, 21 June (Argus) — Oil products held in independent storage tanks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub fell by just over 2pc week-on-week to reach 5.6mn t today.

The decrease in total stocks was driven by a 5pc fall in gasoil inventories, to around 2mn t. Diesel demand from inland Germany is firmer relative to recent weeks, and falling Rhine water levels have prompted a pick-up in gasoil barge traffic on the river in expectation of higher freight prices.

Gasoil cargoes arrived in the ARA area from Finland, Russia and the US at lower levels than those reported in recent weeks. Significant diesel volumes are currently being booked to arrive in Europe from east of Suez. Vessels left the area for Spain and the UK. The premium of second-month Ice gasoil futures to the front-month contract rose on 20 June to its highest in more than three months, at $1/bl.

Fuel oil stocks rose by 3.6pc on the week to a 15-month high of 1.53mn t, having built up in recent weeks amid minimal fuel oil loadings in Rotterdam and steady imports. Stocks should fall next week as two Singapore-bound VLCCs are currently in Rotterdam waiting to load up to 540,000t of fuel oil. The two vessels – Front Prince and Saham – booked by trading firm Vitol and an unnamed charterer, respectively, are the first VLCCs booked on the route to Asia-Pacific since March.

Gasoline stocks fell by 4pc week-on-week as a result of lower import volumes and an increase in exports, particularly to the US. But stock levels remain high and the European gasoline market continues to be oversupplied. Cargoes arrived from Finland, France, Norway and the UK. Vessels left the area for Algeria, the Mideast Gulf, Canada, Estonia, Latin America, west Africa and the US.

Jet fuel stocks declined by 3pc over the past week amid seasonally high demand and no seaborne cargo arrivals. Demand from buyers along the Rhine also firmed. A single cargo left the ARA area, bound for the UK.

Naphtha stocks fell by nearly 5pc to 329,000t. The naphtha market remains in backwardation, but stored volumes are still above the weekly average recorded so far this year, as a result of weak demand from gasoline blenders and general supply length around Europe. Cargoes arrived from Russia and the UK.

Reporter: Thomas Warner

ARA independent product stocks rise

London, 14 June (Argus) — Oil products held in independent storage tanks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub climbed by just over 7pc week-on-week to reach 5.7mn t today, marking a two-month high.

The increase in total stocks was largely a result of a substantial gain in fuel oil inventories, which were up by nearly a third week-on-week. No tankers loaded the product from Rotterdam during the period, keeping northwest Europe oversupplied. But fuel oil exports are likely to rebound as shipping activity has picked up in northwest Europe, with tankers booked to Asia-Pacific and the Mideast Gulf. Two Singapore-bound very large crude carriers (VLCCs) have arrived in Rotterdam to start loading fuel oil later this month.

Diesel stocks rose slightly because of comparatively high imports, particularly from the Baltic Sea. The product also arrived from Poland and the Mideast Gulf, while some diesel was shipped form the ARA region to France, the UK and west Africa. Stocks are under pressure from firm demand, which is likely to tighten the market later this month.

Gasoline stocks increased by 5pc week-on-week. The European gasoline market remains oversupplied as an increase in US demand was offset by weak buying interest from west Africa and Asia-Pacific. Arbitrages on most long-haul export routes were largely unviable, putting pressure on gasoline prices in the ARA region. European gasoline output remained high, contributing to the increase in stocks. Meanwhile, the Mediterranean market remains tight, drawing product from the north.

Jet fuel stocks declined marginally during the past week despite rising exports from the Mideast Gulf, as tankers carrying jet fuel arrived into northwest European ports outside the ARA hub. The region is set to receive at least 290,000t of jet fuel from east of Suez during the week to 16 June, compared with 145,000t a week earlier.

Naphtha stocks fell by nearly 6pc, after having been buoyed the prior week by cargoes arriving from the US Gulf Coast. Demand for light virgin naphtha from European gasoline blenders remains weak and is largely covered by local supplies. Last week, tanker bookings emerging with Asia-Pacific discharge options reached 340,000t, the highest weekly total since late April. The four cargoes are due to load between 20-27 June.

Reporter: Thomas Warner