ARA oil product stocks rise on the week

4 July, 2019 (Argus) – Inventories of oil products independently held in Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) have increased by in the week to 3 July, buoyed by a rise in gasoil stocks, according to consultancy Insights Global.

Gasoil inventories rose. Production of middle distillates in the region is rising as refineries in northwest Europe return from planned or unplanned outages. These include three German facilities — Schwedt, Leuna refinery and Vohburg refineries — as well as the Rotterdam refinery and Cressier plant.

Gasoline inventories fell on the week as a result of higher exports to the US Atlantic coast and Canada. An increase in gasoline blending activity caused barge congestion in Amsterdam and Rotterdam as market participants moved finished grade product and components around the area. Tankers departed ARA area for Brazil, west Africa and northern Germany. But increasing refining activity in Germany is likely to curtail gasoline tanker movements from ARA to the country. Gasoline cargoes arrived from the Baltics, Finland, Norway, Spain and the UK.

Naphtha inventories rose on the week, after falling by a similar amount the previous week. Rising northwest European naphtha prices attracted cargoes from Algeria, Norway, Portugal, Russia and the UK.

Fuel oil inventories fell on the week. Tankers departed for the Mediterranean, west Africa and the Suezmax Minerva Evropi left Rotterdam for Singapore. Cargoes arrived in the ARA from France, Lithuania, Russia and the UK.

Jet fuel stocks in ARA fell back slightly from the two-year highs recorded during the last three weeks. Demand rose in line with seasonal expectations. But the return to service of the Leuna refinery weighed on demand for jet fuel barges on the river Rhine, as supply from inland increased. Jet fuel tankers arrived from the UAE and departed for the UK and Ireland.

Reporter: Thomas Warner

Press Release: René Loozen joins INSIGHTS GLOBAL as Consultancy Business Director

As of September 1st 2019 René Loozen will join the INSIGHTS GLOBAL team to take the role of Consultancy Business Director. In this role he has the assignment to shape, grow and lead the global consultancy organization in order to bring more value to INSIGHT’s clients. His extensive background in the hydrocarbon, chemical, shipping and tank storage industry, his exceptional ability to understand markets and his solid experience in shaping business intelligence organizations makes him the ideal person to lead this effort.

Patrick Kulsen, Managing Director of INSIGHTS GLOBAL, who previously held this role, will remain available as a senior consultant for clients and will intensively work together with René to maximize value for INSIGHTS’ clients and other stakeholders.

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ABOUT INSIGHTS GLOBAL:

INSIGHTS GLOBAL an independent market research company specialized in international petroleum and petrochemical industries. We offer market data, market analysis reports, consultancy and training services to our customers to support their commercial decision making.

ARA oil product stocks rise on gasoline, fuel oil

27 June, 2019 (Argus) — Inventories of oil products independently held in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) area have risen this week, boosted by gasoline and fuel oil stock builds.

Total oil product stocks in the ARA hub rose in the week to 26 June, according to consultancy Insights Global. The week-on-week increase was driven by rises in fuel oil and gasoline inventories, respectively (see table).

Gasoline refining margins in Europe rose this week, boosted by increased demand for the product as a result of the shutdown of Philadelphia Energy Solutions Philadelphia. Sellers are likely accumulating gasoline in tanks ready for blending before export to the US in the coming weeks.

Rising prices drew in cargoes from Italy, France, Portugal and the UK. Gasoline barge movements rose on the week as market participants organised product for export. But demand from along the Rhine fell on the week. Refineries affected by the Druzhba crude pipeline contamination gradually returned to full production.

Fuel oil inventories rose on the week. Exports were limited with inventories in key market Singapore ample. No VLCCs loaded during the week to yesterday.

Naphtha supplies held in ARA storage fell during the past week. An oversupplied naphtha market in the last month has weighed on prices and inhibited shipments to northwest Europe. No tankers came from key supply areas north Africa and Russia.

Gasoil inventories fell. German demand rose, prompting a week-on-week increase in middle distillate barge traffic on the Rhine.

Jet fuel stocks in ARA fell back slightly from the two-year highs recorded during the last two weeks. High inventories in northwest Europe prompted several jet fuel tankers from the Mideast Gulf to divert to the US and Africa, weighing on shipments to the ARA area. Demand from along the Rhine continued to rise as consumption increased in line with seasonal expectations.

Reporter: Thomas Warner

ARA Fuel Oil Stockpiles Swell on Lack of Arbitrage to Asia

1 July, 2019 (Bloomberg) – ARA stockpiles of fuel oil gained to a five-
month high in the past week on a lack of large shipments to Asia
due to weak arbitrage economics, according to Insights Global.
* Fuel oil stockpiles highest since Jan. 24
** No VLCCs shipments loaded for Asia from ARA in past week
because the arbitrage is shut, Lars van Wagenignen, operations
manager at Insights Global, says by phone, adding that some
Aframax shipments arrived bringing supplies to NW Europe from
Russia and Estonia
** Stockpiles grew as these factors outweighed the impact of
some exports to the Middle East for summer power generation and
to West Africa for bunkering: Van Wageningen
* NOTE: Singapore imports of fuel oil at multi-year seasonal
low: IES data
* Gasoline stockpiles highest for time of year since at least 2010
** Arbitrage fixtures to U.S. have been picking up in recent
days following news of PES refinery closure, and more shipments
are expected to be booked in coming week, Van Wageningen says,
adding that the time-lag from an arbitrage opening to tankers
loading can be up to 15 days
* Jet fuel stockpiles in independent storage in NW Europe slip
** Summer seasonal demand has been picking up in past week, Van
Wageningen says, adding that ARA inventories have been lowered
slightly by increased shipments to U.K.
* Click here for summary of latest weekly changes; See full
dataset
Reporter: Bill Lehane

Inflows Push ARA Jet Fuel Stores to 12-Year Seasonal High: IG

21 June, 2019 (Bloomberg) – ARA stockpiles of jet fuel increased to
their highest level in more than two years during the past week,
boosted by imports from India and the Middle East, according to
Insights Global.
* Jet fuel stockpiles in independent storage in NW Europe, highest since mid-May 2017, adding to gains last week
** Highest for time of year in data starting from 2007
** Imports remained elevated in the past week, including cargoes
from India and the Middle East, boosting ARA stockpiles even
though some shipments were partly discharged in U.K., Lars Van
Wageningen, operations manager of Insights Global, says by phone

** Inventories may increase further in coming week as more
imports are expected: Van Wageningen
** INDIA-EUROPE FUEL FLOWS: Imports Set to Jump, Mirrors Other
Arbs
** MIDEAST-EUROPE FUEL FLOWS: Shipments Boosted by Suezmax
Arrivals
* Gasoil/diesel stockpiles – still above 5-
year seasonal avg
** Demand to send fuels inland along the Rhine remained above
average, while more gasoil/diesel was
also shipped to West Africa; imports from outside Europe fell
w/w: Van Wageningen
* Gasoline stockpiles -still remains highest
for time of year in data starting from 2007
** Demand to ship fuel inland to Germany remained above average
in past week, but export demand was weak, with only a few
shipments to U.S., western Canada and West Africa: Van
Wageningen
** EUROPE-AMERICAS FUEL FLOWS: Exports Wane After U.S. Stocks
Swell
Reporter: Bill Lehane

ARA oil product stocks drop from 2-year highs

20 June, 2019 (Argus) — Inventories of oil products independently held in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) area have fallen in the past week, driven by a decline in stocks of gasoil, gasoline and naphtha.

Total oil product stocks in the ARA hub fell in the week to 19 June, according to consultancy Insights Global. In the previous week, stocks rose, the highest level since May 2017.

The week-on-week decrease was driven by a drop in gasoil stocks. But gasoil inventories remain comfortably above the year-to-date weekly.

Gasoil cargoes were imported to the ARA region from Russia, Saudi Arabia and the US in the week to 19 June, but shipments departed for France, the UK and west Africa. In the previous week, two Suezmaxes delivered gasoil to the ARA area from India, and one from the UAE.

Demand from eastern Germany has remained strong as a result of crude supply disruptions to refineries in that region. But this is set to ease. Russian crude flows through the Druzhba pipeline to Germany’s PCK Schwedt and Leuna refineries resumed on 17 June, although neither plant is yet operating at full capacity.

Gasoline inventories dipped by on the week, pushed lower by improved arbitrage economics for shipments to the Americas, as a result of sharply lower European barge prices, which fell to three-month lows this week. The Nymex front-month Rbob gasoline contract reached premium to prompt-loading Eurobob oxy barges on 18 June, its highest since the end of April.

Record US gasoline demand drove more European cargoes west — implied gasoline demand hit in the week to 14 June in the US, according to the latest EIA data, its highest since at least 1991 when records began.

Naphtha supplies held in ARA storage have fallen in the past week. Northwest European naphtha’s discount to crude has narrowed, amid firmer demand following the return to operation of major petrochemical facilities in Asia-Pacific, although cargo bookings on the route have been thin as of yet.

Jet fuel stocks in the ARA region rose in the week to 19 June, putting inventories at their highest since May 2017. The northwest European jet fuel market continues to be well supplied off the back of east of Suez shipments, particularly from the Mideast Gulf and India. Supplies are being pulled into the ARA area from further afield as demand in northwest Europe begins to pick up for the summer flying season and refinery shutdowns constrain European jet fuel production.

Fuel oil inventories were little changed on the week, gaining less. The Baltic Sunrise departed Rotterdam for Singapore with a fuel oil cargo on 14 June, but those supplies have been replaced by the arrival of Aframax tankers from other parts of northwest Europe and the Baltics.

Reporter: Robert Harvey

Jet Fuel Stockpiles Surge to 2-Year High in ARA: Insights Global

(Bloomberg) — ARA stockpiles of jet fuel rose to the
highest level in two years, buoyed by imports from Middle East
and Asia, according to Insights Global. Gasoline inventories
gain to multi-year seasonal high.
* Jet fuel stockpiles in independent storage in NW Europe , highest since May 2017
** Inventories also at multi-year seasonal high
* There has been a sharp increase in imports of jet fuel
arriving this week from U.A.E., South Korea, including larger
Aframax-size shipments, Lars Van Wageningen, operations manager
of Insights Global, said by phone
* Middle East shipments may now go to U.K. or Spain, rather than
ARA
* * Gasoil/diesel stockpiles, highest since mid-October
** Shipments arrived in past week from U.A.E., Russia, U.S.: Van
Wageningen
** Flows inland along Rhine, mostly diesel, remained high at
about 200k tons this week
** Inland restocking may be gathering pace while Rhine water
levels are high: Van Wageningen
** MIDEAST-EUROPE FUEL FLOWS: June Shipments Set to Remain
Elevated
* Gasoline stockpiles, highest since mid-February and also high for the time of year
** Very little being exported to the U.S. due to lack of
arbitrage opportunity: Van Wageningen
** Increased volumes still coming in from U.K., Med, Scandinavia
to make up for reduced supply stemming from Druzhba crisis
** Refinery outages including Leuna and Cressier refineries
drawing extra volumes inland: Van Wageningen said
* EARLIER: Gasoil Stockpiles Rise in Europe’s ARA Region

Reporter: Bill Lehane

ARA oil product inventories hit two-year highs

London, 13 June (Argus) — A second consecutive week-on-week rise in gasoline stocks pushed inventories of oil products independently held in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) region to their highest since May 2017.

Total oil product stocks rose in the week to 12 June, with inventories of all surveyed products rising on the week. The share of utilised independent tank space in the ARA region has hit its highest in two-and-a-half years. Rising gasoline stocks accounted for an increase in overall utilisation recorded over the last fortnight.

Firmer northwest European barge prices, prompted by tighter supply in Germany, continued to draw large cargoes into the ARA region during the week. Record volumes of Argus eurobob oxy barges sold last week contributed to the rise in inventories, booked to load on a prompt basis. Refinery outages in Germany have bolstered demand from buyers along the Rhine.

Gasoil stocks rose to reach their highest since October 2018. German demand remained steady on the week, supported by lower output from the PCK Schwedt refinery and Total’s Leuna refinery. But production at the refineries is likely to increase in the coming weeks following the resumption of crude flows through the Druzhba pipeline. A weaker diesel market in Asia-Pacific pushed more tankers into Europe from east of Suez. Two Suezmaxes arrived from India, with a further tanker arriving from the UAE.

Jet fuel stocks in the ARA area rose to reach their highest since May 2017. Two tankers from the Mideast Gulf and South Korea — the Norddolphin and the Sti Nautilus — discharged in ARA in the week to yersterday. Local demand is likely to increase throughout June, and barge flows around the ARA area rose week-on-week.

Naphtha inventories in ARA rose to a four-week high. Demand from the northwest European petrochemical sector remained low as a result of scheduled maintenance at two ethylene crackers in the ARA region. Buying interest from gasoline blenders was also slow because of the high volumes of finished-grade gasoline arriving in the area. Blenders typically add naphtha to gasoline in order to reduce the viscosity of the finished product.

Northwest European naphtha’s discount to North Sea Dated crude remained at multi-year lows during the week to yesterday, owing to a significant supply overhang. But even greater surpluses in other key production regions continued to make northwest Europe an attractive destination for sellers. A cargo of heavy naphtha is expected to arrive later in the month from the US Gulf Coast, reflecting the high levels of supply across the Atlantic.

Reporter: Thomas Warner

ARA gasoline inventories surge

London, 6 June (Argus) — A sharp rise in gasoline stocks pushed inventories of independently-held oil products in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) region higher on the week, according to consultancy Insights Global.

Stocks rose in the week to 5 June.

Gasoline inventories jumped week on week, with cargoes coming into the ARA area coming from Finland, France, Italy, Russia, and the UK.

Relatively firm northwest European gasoline prices have left cargo arbitrages out of Europe to regions such as North and South America and west Africa unworkable in the last few weeks, which has slowed departures. The regional strength has also encouraged the arrival of cargoes from outside of the region — including from the Mediterranean — helping lift supplies at a time when regional demand has been relatively muted for the time of year. This week’s build sees gasoline stocks at their highest since early March.

The rise in gasoline stocks this week coincided with a sharp rise in trading activity. Argus Eurobob oxy gasoline barges changed hands from 3 June up to 16:30 BST on 6 June, not far off total May trading activity.

Gasoil stocks eased off this week, after rising to their highest since October the previous week. Independently-held gasoil stocks in the ARA dipped by in the week to 5 June. Gasoil stocks eased off this week as the Long Range 2 (LR2) tanker Burri departed ARA for west Africa, taking around out of inventories. Gasoil arrived into ARA this week from India, Russia, and the UAE.

But fresh cargoes are expected to keep northwest Europe well-supplied in coming weeks, with a high number of LR tankers set to arrive in the region from the Mideast Gulf and US. Diesel margins in the region have been under sustained pressure because of ample regional supply in recent weeks. Northwest European French diesel’s premium to North Sea Dated crude fell the lowest since March 2018 on 5 June.

Fuel oil stocks also dipped lower this week — with outbound flows to the Mideast Gulf and west Africa offsetting inbound flows from France, Norway, Poland and Russia. Fuel oil flows to the Mideast Gulf could be higher because of increasing power generation demand following the end of Ramadan.

But deteriorating economics for shipments to the Asia-Pacific region continue to deter exports to Singapore, where stocks recently reached a two-year high. The Singapore second-month swap premium to high-sulphur fuel oil cargo prices in northwest Europe has averaged below in the last five trading days, from in the previous five. It is the lowest five-day average since September 2017.

Jet kerosene stocks were largely stable, dipping in the week up to 5 June, with departures from the area to the UK. Jet demand has been slow to pick up ahead of the peak season, but overall demand this year is set to exceed that of last year. Stocks could soon rise — the Alburaq offloaded jet fuel on 6 June in Rotterdam, and five further tankers are scheduled to arrive in ARA by the end of this week. But Total’s declaration of force majeure on jet deliveries from its Leuna refinery in eastern Germany could push ARA supplies towards that area, which could weigh on stocks.

Meanwhile, Total booked one vessel from ARA to take of product to Immingham loading on the 5 June, likely related to maintenance works at Lindsey refinery.

Naphtha inventories in ARA jumped this week, rose. Naphtha stocks in the ARA region had rebounded from the 18-month lows recorded a week earlier. Demand from the petrochemical sector remained low as a result of scheduled maintenance at three northwest European ethylene crackers. Buying interest from gasoline blenders was also low.

Blenders typically add naphtha to gasoline in order to reduce the viscosity of the finished product, but the high inflows of finished-grade gasoline from outside the ARA area weighed on demand for the product. The general lack of buying interest, combined with the arrival of cargoes from Algeria, Norway, Russia, and the UK, brought northwest European naphtha’s discount to North Sea Dated crude to multi-year lows during the week to today.

Reporter: Robert Harvey

ARA Gasoline Stores Rise to Fill Druzhba Loss

(Bloomberg) — ARA gasoline stockpiles jumped by 29% in the
past week as inventories in the NW Europe trading hub were
replenished after being been drawn down during the Druzhba
pipeline crisis, according to Insights Global.
* Gasoline stockpiles, highest since early March
** Market participants are actively buying gasoline to rebuild
ARA inventories that were drawn down for inland re-supply, Lars
van Wageningen, operations manager of Insights Global, says by
phone; adds that these volumes may be destined for future
exports out of the region
** At the same time, elevated gasoline-barge flows inland to
serve Druzhba-related demand also continued, with
the motor fuel shipped along Rhine in past week; remains well above regular flows: Van Wageningen
* Fuel oil stockpiles – lowest in about a month
** Stockpiles could decline further in coming week as VLCC
Baltic Sunrise is at jetty in Rotterdam to load fuel oil for
Singapore, Van Wageningen says
* Gasoil/diesel stockpiles – lowest since May 23
** Stable demand for flows inland along Rhine outweighed imports
from other regions this week: Van Wageningen
* EARLIER: Gasoil Stockpiles Fall in Europe’s ARA Region:
Insights Global

Reporter: Bill Lehane