Trafigura to Acquire Greenergy

Trafigura Group Pte Ltd and Greenergy, a UK-based supplier of road fuels and a major biodiesel producer, today announce that Trafigura has agreed to acquire Greenergy’s European business from Brookfield Asset Management and its listed affiliate Brookfield Business Partners for an undisclosed sum. The acquisition is subject to customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals.

Initially founded in 1992 to supply diesel with lower emissions, Greenergy is today one of Europe’s largest suppliers of biofuels with manufacturing plants in the UK and the Netherlands and a leading distributor of road fuels in the UK.

The acquisition of Greenergy presents a unique opportunity for Trafigura to strengthen its fuel supply operations in Europe and to add the physical production and distribution of renewable fuels to its growing biofuels business. Post acquisition, the company will continue to be led by its current management team.

The combination of Trafigura’s and Greenergy’s commercial and market expertise will add value to the existing operations, and enable the company to explore opportunities for expansion into new markets and products.

In addition, Trafigura’s financial strength will provide a robust platform for growth, helping to drive Greenergy’s strategic initiatives and its decarbonisation plan.

Ben Luckock, Global Head of Oil at Trafigura, said: “As Europe transitions to a lower carbon future and the refining industry adapts to changing market dynamics, companies like Greenergy become increasingly important. This acquisition represents a major expansion of our existing biofuels and fuel supply capabilities, adding Greenergy’s production and distribution expertise and supporting customers’ transition to cleaner, more sustainable fuel options.”

Christian Flach, Chief Executive of Greenergy, said: “Trafigura brings additional understanding of global supply chains and energy markets and a track record of investing in renewables. This will further enhance our offer to customers through the energy transition and beyond.”

By: Trafigura , March 5, 2024

Exclusive: Vitol Close to Buying Exxon, QatarEnergy Stakes in Italy LNG Terminal, Sources Say

Vitol-backed energy storage company VTTI is close to acquiring a majority stake in Italy’s biggest liquefied natural gas import terminal from Exxon Mobil (XOM.N), opens new tab and QatarEnergy, two sources with knowledge of the matter said on Monday.

The deal, which sources previously said could value the entire terminal at about 800 million euros ($868 million), would give VTTI a role in the European LNG market at a time when flows of the liquefied gas to Italy are on the rise.

Exxon put its 70.68% interest in the Adriatic LNG terminal up for sale last year, as part of a strategy to divest non-core assets. QatarEnergy owns a 22% stake.

VTTI and QatarEnergy were not available for comment outside working hours in Europe and the Gulf. Exxon did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Once a deal is signed, Italian gas grid operator Snam, which currently owns a 7.3% in the terminal, will have 45 days to decide whether to exercise its right of first refusal to increase its stake in the project.

The chief executive of state-controlled Snam said in January the group could increase its stake in the terminal to as much as 30% under an agreement with the current shareholders, boosting its influence over an asset considered strategic for the country.

One of the sources said last-minute surprises to VTTI’s purchase attempt could not be ruled out. The sources declined to be named because they were not authorised to speak publicly about the matter.

Investment manager BlackRock (BLK.N), opens new tab in December bowed out of exclusive talks to acquire the asset, reopening the possibility for VTTI to buy it.

The Adriatic LNG terminal is located about 9 miles (15 km) off the Veneto coastline and has a regasification capacity of 9 billion cubic metres of natural gas per year.

It is the only Italian LNG terminal that can receive so-called super large-scale LNG vessels with a capacity of up to 217,000 liquid cubic meters.

By: Reuters / Francesca Landini, March 5, 2024

ARA oil product stocks hit nine-month high (Week 09 – 2024)

Independently-held oil product stocks at the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub increased in the week to 28 February, the highest since June, according to consultancy Insights Global, as overall trading activity remained muted.

Naphtha stocks rose on the week, the highest figure reported since 21 January 2021. Both gasoline blending activity and demand from the petrochemical sector remained level amid higher imports and little activity in the afternoon trading window. Naphtha cargoes arrived in ARA from northwest Europe, Algeria and the US, while none left.

Gasoline stocks declined on steady export flows from the ARA region, mainly into the US and west Africa. Market participants noted that blending activity remained stable in anticipation of higher demand from the US in the coming months. Inland gasoline demand remained muted. Tankers carrying gasoline arrived mainly from northwest Europe and the Mediterranean and departed to North and South America, the Mediterranean, west Africa and northwest Europe.

Gasoil stocks rose, helped by higher arrivals from the US and east of Suez while demand in the ARA region showed no signs of growth. Independently-held jet fuel stocks fell on the week, with no cargoes arriving.

By Mykyta Hryshchuk

Glencore May Snap Up Shell Oil Assets in Singapore

Glencore may acquire Shell’s oil operations in Singapore after several previous candidates for the assets changed their minds about competing for them.

This is according to unnamed sources who spoke to Reuters, saying that the Swiss commodity trading major was currently in the process of evaluating the assets with the help of Indonesian PT Chandra Asri Petrochemical.

The assets in question include Shell’s Singapore refinery, which has a capacity of 237,000 barrels daily, an ethylene plant, and a mono-ethylene glycol production facility in the vicinity. These were subjected to a strategic review in June last year and following that, Shell decided to get rid of them.

The refinery started as an oil storage and refinery complex but over the years grew into a more complex facility that also produces biofuels and recycles plastics, according to the company.

Previously, there were four potential buyers of the assets that Shell said it wanted to divest from last year. These included Vitol and three Chinese companies, including CNOOC and two petrochemical producers—Befar Group and Eversun Holdings.

These, according to the Reuters sources, have now dropped out of the race, clearing the space for another buyer. Per the sources, Glencore is working with Morgan Stanley on drafting a deal with the Big Oil major.

China’s Sinopec was also among the prospective buyers for the Singapore assets but in August last year, it said it would instead invest in a natural gas project in Saudi Arabia, in partnership with TotalEnergies.

The acquisition will give the commodity trader a physical presence in Singapore, which is a major regional oil hub. However, Reuters notes that the two petrochemical facilities that Shell is selling are old and are finding it increasingly difficult to compete with newer refineries and petrochemical complexes in China.

Shell planned to have the fate of the Singapore assets sealed by the end of this year.


By: Oil Price / Irina Slav, February 29, 2024

Is There a Geopolitical Risk Premium in the Oil Price Right Now?

Oil prices are being driven higher by geopolitical events, James Davis, FGE’s Director of Short-Term Global Oil Service and Head of Upstream Oil, told Rigzone.

“You can say there is some ‘risk premium’ as a result, but it would be more accurate to say part of this ‘risk premium’ is due to ‘trade friction’ as shippers avoid the Red Sea,” Davis added.

“Vessels avoiding the Red Sea, means longer voyage times, which means more oil on the water, less oil on the land, and as a result, premiums for prompt crude,” he continued.

“Whether you call it a risk premium or trade friction, the geopolitical events are pushing oil prices higher,” Davis went on to state.

When Rigzone asked Carole Nakhle, the CEO of consultancy Crystol Energy, if there is a geopolitical risk premium in the oil price right now, Nakhle said, “we all know that geopolitics affect oil markets but no one knows how to quantify the risk premium which depends on one’s own perception of the risk to supply disruptions”.

“But the geopolitical risk should not be taken in isolation from other important market conditions, including – how tight supplies are to start with? how rapidly demand is growing? Is there sufficient spare capacity in the system? The answer to these questions will determine the magnitude of the geopolitical risk premium,” Nakhle added.

“Today, we haven’t seen supply disruptions. Demand is not booming. Non-OPEC+ supply is healthy, so is the spare capacity largely thanks to OPEC+ cuts,” Nakhle went on to state.

When Rigzone asked Macquarie the same question, the company responded with a report published earlier in February, in which Macquarie strategists said, “a combination of factors have driven the recent oil rally”.

“The key factors include an increase in Middle East and Russia related risk premiums, and an unusually large number of global production outages,” the strategists added in that report.

In a separate report sent to Rigzone on January 23, Macquarie strategists noted that, “without current geopolitical tensions, we believe crude would sell off meaningfully”.

“Over time, we expect supply risk premiums to decouple from conflict risk, analogous to Russia-Ukraine,” they added at the time.

The Brent Crude oil price closed at $77.33 per barrel on February 2, $82.77 per barrel on February 13, $83.67 per barrel on February 22, and $83.65 per barrel on February 27.

Middle East Incidents

In a statement posted on its X page on February 28, U.S. Central Command (Centcom) noted that, on February 27, between the hours of 9.50pm and 10.55pm Sanaa time, U.S. aircraft and a coalition warship “shot down five Iranian-backed Houthi one-way attack (OWA) unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) in the Red Sea”.

“Centcom forces identified these UAVs originating from Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen and determined they presented an imminent threat to merchant vessels and to the U.S. Navy and coalition ships in the region,” Centcom added in the statement.

“These actions will protect freedom of navigation and make international waters safer and more secure for U.S. Navy and merchant vessels,” it continued.

In a statement posted on its X page on February 27, Centcom revealed that, on February 26 between the hours of 4.45pm and 11.45pm Sanaa time, its forces “destroyed three unmanned surface vessels (USV), two mobile anti-ship cruise missiles (ASCM), and a one-way attack unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) in self-defense”.

“The USV and ASCM weapons were prepared to launch towards, and the UAV was over, the Red Sea. Centcom forces identified the USVs and missiles in Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen, as well as the UAV over the Red Sea, and determined that they presented an imminent threat to merchant vessels and to the U.S. Navy ships in the region,” it added.

“These actions are taken to protect freedom of navigation and make international waters safer and more secure for U.S. Navy and merchant vessels,” Centcom continued.

In a previous X post, Centcom noted that, on February 24 at 11.45pm Sanaa time, “the Iranian-backed Houthis launched one anti-ship ballistic missile likely targeting the M/V Torm Thor, a U.S.-flagged, owned, and operated chemical/oil product tanker in the Gulf of Aden”.

“The missile impacted the water causing no damage or injuries. Earlier in the evening, at about 9pm Sanaa time, USCENTCOM forces shot down two one-way attack unmanned aerial vehicles over the southern Red Sea in self-defense,” it added.

“A third UAV crashed from an assessed in-flight failure. Centcom forces identified the UAVs and determined they presented an imminent threat to merchant vessels and to the U.S. Navy ships in the region,” it continued.

Coalition Strikes

In another X post on February 24, Centcom stated that, at approximately 11.50pm Sanaa time, Centcom forces, alongside UK Armed Forces, and with support from Australia, Bahrain, Canada, Denmark, the Netherlands, and New Zealand, “conducted strikes against 18 Houthi targets in Iranian-backed Houthi terrorist-controlled areas of Yemen”.

“These strikes from this multilateral coalition targeted areas used by the Houthis to attack international merchant vessels and naval ships in the region. Illegal Houthi attacks have disrupted humanitarian aid bound for Yemen, harmed Middle Eastern economies, and caused environmental damage,” it added.

“The targets included Houthi underground weapons storage facilities, missile storage facilities, one-way attack unmanned aerial systems, air defense systems, radars, and a helicopter. These strikes are intended to degrade Houthi capability and disrupt their continued reckless and unlawful attacks on international commercial and U.S. and U.K. vessels in the Red Sea, Bab AI-Mandeb Strait, and the Gulf of Aden,” Centcom went on to state in the post.

“The goal of this multi-national effort is to defend ourselves, our partners, and allies in the region and restore freedom of navigation by destroying Houthi capabilities used to threaten U.S. and partner forces in the Red Sea and surrounding waterways,” it continued.

By: Rigzone /  Andreas Exarheas, February 29, 2024 

A Driving Force or LNG Market Expansion

Driven by China’s industrial decarbonisation, the global liquefied natural gas (LNG) market will continue to grow into the 2040s, according to a new report.

As industrial coal-to-gas switching gathers pace in China, amid its modest economic recovery, global demand for LNG is estimated to rise by more than 50% by 2040, according to Shell’s LNG Outlook 2024 report.

The report shows that the development of China’s gas infrastructure has been accelerating in recent years. The growth in scale and connectivity has also enabled China to balance the LNG market worldwide, it said.

According to the report, long-term gas and LNG demand outlook in China remains strong while supply diversification is also a key characteristic of the growth in the country.

China has been ramping up construction of LNG infrastructure in recent years, including receiving terminals and storage facilities, as the country prioritises a transition away from coal.

The total turnover capacity of LNG receiving stations in China reached 97.3 million tonnes per year by the end of 2022, according to the Economics and Technology Research Institute under China National Petroleum Corp.

“China is likely to dominate LNG demand growth this decade as its industry seeks to cut carbon emissions by switching from coal to gas,” said Steve Hill, executive vice-president for Shell Energy.

Hill said gas has an essential role to play in tackling the carbon emissions in China’s steel sector by replacing coal during the production process.

China’s natural-gas market achieved growth last year amid economic recovery. Data from the National Development and Reform Commission revealed that China’s apparent natural-gas consumption exceeded 394.53 billion cubic metres, an increase of 7.6% year-on-year.

China also overtook Japan as the world’s largest LNG importer last year, with imports reaching 71.32 million tonnes, up 12.6% year-on-year, it said.

According to BloombergNEF, China’s optimised anti-Covid-19 measures last year have lifted gas consumption since the second quarter of 2023, with total demand in 2023 reaching 384 billion cubic metres, 4.8% higher than that the year before.

The residential and commercial sector’s gas demand gained from the optimisation of measures, while transport gas consumption spiked as LNG trucks became more cost-competitive compared with diesel ones, it said.

China has become the dominant force in LNG worldwide as it works toward a green transition with what is seen as a relatively clean bridge fuel, said Li Ziyue, an analyst with BloombergNEF.

Li said gas burn in the transport sector is set to see the fastest growth due to the favourable economics of natural-gas commercial vehicles.

“Power gas burn may grow fast with a gas power capacity expansion and lower fuel prices,” she said.

State-owned enterprises have led China’s expansion of its capacity to handle LNG, while private companies are playing an increasingly active role in building LNG terminals, she said.

About 60% of the LNG facilities under construction are by state-owned enterprises, while the rest are by private companies in China, Li added.

China is among the countries with an extensive list of LNG terminals under construction, with some being constructed from scratch and many existing terminals undergoing expansion, Anne-Sophie Corbeau, a researcher with the Center on Global Energy Policy at Columbia University, was quoted as saying by South China Morning Post.

BloombergNEF said it expects China’s base-case natural gas demand in 2024 to increase 7% year-on-year to 413 billion cubic metres, while LNG imports are estimated to rise 7% annually to 76 million tonnes this year.

By Zheng Xin / Investor , February 27, 2024

Computer Vision, Edge Computing Can Shape the Future of Oil and Gas

Edge computing is propelling computer vision into a new era, catalyzing the development of smart devices, intelligent systems, and immersive experiences.

Within information technology (IT) today, a significant trend revolves around the empowerment of artificial intelligence (AI) and the Internet of Things (IoT) through edge computing, expediting the time to value for digital transformation initiatives. Santhosh Rao, a senior research director at Gartner, notes that, presently, approximately 10% of enterprise-generated data is created and processed outside a traditional centralized data center or cloud. Looking ahead, Gartner anticipates this figure will surge to 75% by 2025.

Expanding on this, edge computing is propelling computer vision into a new era, catalyzing the development of smart devices, intelligent systems, and immersive experiences. The inherent benefits of edge computing, including expedited processing, increased security, and real-time insights, have positioned it as a pivotal tool across various computer vision applications.

The past 12 months has seen a noticeable uptick in interest in critical applications for computer vision on the edge, signaling a growing demand for fault-tolerant-based solutions. The capabilities of cameras to perceive such things as thermal and infrared imaging — beyond the human eye’s capabilities — render them indispensable for identifying inconsistencies or vulnerabilities in diverse industrial processes, ultimately contributing to enhanced work flow efficiency and operational excellence.

This article delves into the leading applications of computer vision on edge devices within the oil and gas industry, presenting distinctive opportunities for seamlessly integrating edge computing and computer vision.

Enhancing Health, Safety, and Environment (HSE)

In the oil and gas sector in particular, the synergy of edge computing and computer vision is proving to be critical in addressing HSE concerns. Vision systems now can discern issues traditionally assessed by human personnel, including perimeter security concerns. This extends to the monitoring of flares and processes to detect hazardous conditions such as leaks or alterations in flare chemical composition through temperature and color analysis. This plays a critical role in fire prevention and detection and facilitates emergency responses to catastrophic events such as explosions. Flare monitoring aids operators in achieving smokeless flaring, thereby improving their carbon footprint and minimizing overall environmental impact.

Furthermore, real-time cameras can be installed to monitor usage of personal protective equipment, ensuring the safety of workers in hazardous environments. These AI-enhanced systems can even identify injuries and promptly alert response teams and authorities, ultimately enhancing overall safety standards in the industry.

Operations and Reliability

Vision systems also can benefit the oil and gas sector by improving operational and reliability metrics. For example, a terminal can use vision systems to watch traffic flow and quickly identify if certain pumps, vehicles, lanes, or operators are creating bottlenecks or slowing down when compared with how they operated in the past. Engineers often struggle to identify why some assets perform better than others when all the equipment seems to be equal. Vision systems can help identify and quantify the human element by observing the behaviors of top preforming operators and allow those best practices to be taught to the rest of the team.

The best reliability engineers know that correlating data is key to identifying root causes and failure modes. Although many reliability departments include thermal and visible light imaging, these are snapshots in time and could fail to identify key events that have affected equipment. Including vision systems can bolster reliability by identifying these key events, correlating them with other reliability data, and quantifying the effect on reliability metrics. Vision systems offer the incredible ability to identify things you never knew affected your operations before.

Operationalizing Computer-Vision-Based Insights With Edge Computing

Today, there are three options to help incorporate these innovative and highly dynamic systems into operations to begin gaining valuable and actionable operational intelligence.

Smart Vision Systems With Integrated AI Models. This involves using intelligent camera systems and the vendor’s accompanying software to train the camera to detect a specific target scenario. While out-of-the-box functionality is highly beneficial for fast deployment for individual sites or targets, several challenges must be considered. Some of those detracting factors include high cost and vendor lock-in. The most notable issue with this approach, though, is the limited scalability of the trained model, meaning the model must be trained on one camera before it is manually moved to every other camera for them to learn from one another.

Standard Cameras With Cloud-Based AI Model. This is where raw video is streamed to the cloud, then the models are trained in the cloud to detect predetermined targets. This comes with data quality and cost challenges and cloud egress fees and can be difficult to integrate meaningfully into work flows. The upside, however, is that it provides good scalability, many options for open vendor tools for improved serviceability, and a wide variety of targets to train for to help improve the flexibility of the technology.

Standard Cameras With Edge AI Model. This presents an opportunity to have the best of both worlds. Among the key advantages is having a variety of vendors to choose from (i.e., no vendor or software lock-in). You own your data and infrastructure, with a wide variety of targets to train for, very scalable models, quick deployment for individual sites and targets, and local integration into work flows. Conversely, the biggest challenge is getting multiple departments to collaborate around a single edge computing platform (e.g., operations, IT, and procurement).

Perhaps most important when comparing vision system architecture models, however, is the integration of insights into work flows and actions. Owner/operators within the oil and gas industry can only achieve demonstrable gains in their digital transformation initiatives when they can react to what the vision system identifies. Using edge computing platforms, owner/operators can quickly and efficiently integrate into alarm systems, supervisory control and data acquisition systems, and enterprise resource planning systems; trigger work orders; and connect data historians among other critical applications.

This is the key to deriving value from a computer vision system. If you cannot quickly act on what your vision system detected, then there is little value in having a vision system at all.

Conclusion

In the oil and gas industry, transformative shifts are underway, propelled by computer vision systems. The adoption of edge-native deployments, however, is imperative to fully harness the potential of this technology. The speed, security, and real-time insights facilitated by edge computing position it as an indispensable tool for applications in this sector.

Crucially, vision systems alone do not instigate change; rather, they provide the insights necessary to drive informed action. Effecting true change requires the seamless integration of these insights into real-time work flows at the local level. As technology advances, ongoing innovations in edge computing and computer vision promise a future characterized by safer, more efficient, and smarter systems and devices. This trajectory is set to transform daily lives both now and in the years to come.

By Rudy De Anda / jpt.spe, January 25, 2024

Rotterdam on Track to Becoming Truly Sustainable Port

Despite a slight decline in total cargo throughput, 2023 was a year of success for the Port of Rotterdam which is making significant strides in becoming more sustainable.

Last year saw major investment decisions that are contributing to making the port and the logistics chain to and from Rotterdam greener. The financial results were stable with revenues rising by 1.9% to €841.5 million year-on-year. This puts the port authority in a position to commit to further investments for a future-resilient port in the years to come as well.

Total cargo throughput in the Port of Rotterdam amounted to 438.8 million tonnes in 2023, 6.1% less compared to 467.4 million tonnes seen in 2022. The fall was mainly seen in coal throughput, containers and other dry bulk. Throughput rose in the agribulk, iron ore & scrap, and LNG segments. The decline was due to the ongoing geopolitical unrest, low economic growth and high inflation, as explained by the port authority.

“2023 saw ongoing geopolitical unrest, low economic growth due to higher interest rates and faltering global trade, all of which had a logical effect on throughput in the port of Rotterdam,” Boudewijn Siemons, CEO of the Port of Rotterdam Authority, commented.

“However, the year also saw many major investment decisions and milestones in the transition to a sustainable port. We made the final investment decision for the construction of the CO2 transport and storage project, Porthos. Construction work also began on the national hydrogen network in the port of Rotterdam. And we celebrated a number of significant developments in the logistics segment this year, such as the announcement of the expansions of the APMT and RWG container terminals, and the opening of the CER. All these developments will take us a step closer to a successful and future-resilient port and industrial complex.”

Progress on the energy transition

The definitive investment decision was made for Porthos in mid-October 2023. The Porthos system for the transport and storage of CO2 consists of an onshore pipeline running from Botlek through the port area to a compressor station on the Maasvlakte. From the compressor station, the CO2 pipeline goes to empty gas fields under the bed of the North Sea.

Most of this ‘backbone’ will be positioned in the existing pipeline strips. Valve or connection locations are planned at ten strategic locations to allow companies in the port to bring their captured CO2 into the system. Thanks to Porthos, 2.5 million tonnes of CO2 a year will soon be captured and permanently stored. CO2 storage is therefore a meaningful measure that will allow industry to contribute to the Dutch climate goals.

What is more, the construction of the national hydrogen network began officially in the port of Rotterdam on October 27. The network, which is open to all hydrogen suppliers and buyers, will soon be 1,200 kilometers long and it will provide five Dutch industrial clusters with access to green hydrogen.

Another initiative — the construction of the shore power installation for cruise vessels at the Holland America Quay — began in early June 2023. The Ministry of Infrastructure & Water Management, the Municipality of Rotterdam and the Port of Rotterdam Authority are providing the financing for the building work.

Boskalis commissioned a large-scale shore power facility at its Waalhaven location in November. Some of the DFDS vessels that dock in Vlaardingen have been supplied with electricity from a shore power installation since late 2023. Using shore power reduces emissions of CO2, nitrogen and particulate matter. It also reduces noise levels from ships significantly.

Last year, Distro Energy, a scale-up of the Port of Rotterdam Authority, was launched. Distro Energy developed an intelligent and fully automated trading platform that allows companies to trade the green energy they produce between themselves locally and to optimise consumption. Initially, the marketplace will grow over the next year, primarily with the arrival of users in the Rotterdam industrial and port cluster. They include not only customers and producers but also energy suppliers and grid operators.

The energy transition is generating a lot of demand for locations in the port area. The number of locations available for issue in the current port area is scarce. The Port of Rotterdam Authority is therefore making some areas around the Princess Alexiahaven suitable to accommodate new clients. Just under 10 million cubic meters of sand will be used to reclaim 85 hectares of land. Work began in July 2023 and it will continue until the summer of 2024.

In 2023, container terminals APM Terminals and Rotterdam World Gateway (RWG) announced plans to expand their terminals in the Princess Amaliahaven. Both terminals will be prepared for the use of shore power and will operate in carbon-neutral ways, contributing to the port’s overall sustainability goals.

Last year, the Container Exchange Route (CER) went into operation in Rotterdam. The 17-kilometer closed road network currently connects the container terminals of RWG, the Delta terminal of Hutchison Ports ECT Rotterdam (ECT), the terminals and depots of QTerminals Kramer Rotterdam (KDD, RCT and DCS) and the State Inspection Terminal of the Customs Authority. The CER is making a major contribution to security, integrity, efficiency and sustainability in the Port of Rotterdam.

In the years to come, more and increasingly larger container vessels are expected to pass through the Yangtzekanaal to the Maasvlakte terminals. To provide more space for the current vessels and also to allow the ever-larger vessels to pass each other properly, the navigable channel of the Yangtze Canal will be widened along its entire length in the years ahead. The first subproject began in September 2023 and it involves the construction of 500 meters of quay immediately alongside the entrance to the port of Rotterdam. Berths, including shore power, are being established at this quay for twelve tugs.

What to expect in 2024?

The Port of Rotterdam expects 2024 to be an unpredictable year due to geopolitical developments and upcoming elections in several countries. It is important in these turbulent times for the port to maintain a steady course and implement plans that will further the transition, the port said.

Construction work will begin on Porthos in 2024 and the development of the second conversion facility will continue. Investment decisions are expected for hydrogen plants, bio-refineries, the Maasvlakte-Zuid rail yard and the Princess Alexia Viaduct on the Maasvlakte.

Furthermore, new steps are being taken to establish shore power facilities for cruise vessels, container vessels and RoRo vessels, among others.

Work will also continue in 2024 on the deployment and availability of new, renewable fuels, and investments will be made in charging infrastructure for electric trucks to meet the expected demand for sustainable road transportation.

By Naida Hakirevic Prevljak / Offshore Energy, February 22, 2024

Trans Mountain expansion may not give long-term price relief to Canada’s booming oil output

Canadian oil producers expect the discount on their crude to shrink significantly when the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion (TMX) starts this year, but the relief may be short-lived as surging supply looks set to exceed the country’s pipeline capacity in just a few years.

TMX will ship an extra 590,000 barrels per day (bpd) of crude, trebling existing capacity to Canada’s Pacific Coast once the C$30.9 billion ($22.8 billion) expansion is finally complete. The Canadian government-owned project has hit technical issues on its final leg of construction, but is still targeting a second quarter in-service date.

For much of the last decade, oil companies in the world’s No. 4 producing country have been forced to sell their barrels at a deep discount to global prices due to lack of pipeline capacity to export crude.

Once TMX is operating, Canadian heavy crude differentials should narrow to around $10-$12 a barrel under U.S. benchmark crude from more than $19 a barrel currently, BMO analyst Ben Pham said in a note to clients last week.

He estimated the expansion would lift Canada’s total takeaway capacity to 5.2 million bpd, leaving 220,000 bpd of unused space on pipelines.

Still, oil sands production is rising so rapidly that some market players think Canada could again run out of pipeline space in less than two years, said RBN Energy analyst Martin King.

“Originally it was thought TMX would give us a four- or five-year window,” King said. “It now looks like that window of spare capacity might actually be a lot smaller.”

Canadian producers could add up to 500,000 bpd of supply this year and next year alone, Colin Gruending, executive vice president of liquids pipelines at midstream firm Enbridge Inc (ENB.TO), opens new tab, estimated on an earnings call this month.

The prospect for more bottlenecks would likely widen the discount again, and could deter companies from longer-term investments in growing Canada’s production.

For existing pipeline operators, the rising production and strong demand for capacity is good news. Enbridge said it may continue rationing space on its 3.1 million bpd Mainline pipeline system even once TMX starts operating, allaying concerns among some analysts the company could see a drop in volumes and revenues.

MORE OPTIONS

Most of the new capacity on TMX will be for heavy crude barrels, meaning light and synthetic crude oil is most likely to face rationing on the Mainline and any resulting price discounts, said RBN’s King.

The new capacity on TMX will give heavy crude producers a choice of sending barrels to the U.S. west coast and Asia, or to the U.S. Midwest and Gulf Coast on existing pipelines.

On a recent earnings call, Imperial Oil (IMO.TO), opens new tab CEO Brad Corson said having spare pipeline capacity would lift the value of heavy crude for the entire Canadian oil industry.

Imperial will continue to move most of its barrels to the Midwest and Gulf Coast, while keeping a look out for the highest-value markets, he added.

Ryan Bushell, president of Newhaven Asset Management, which holds shares in pipeline companies including Enbridge, said TMX would likely run at less than full capacity if strong pricing on the Gulf Coast, the world’s largest heavy crude refining centre, drew barrels onto pipelines heading south.

“It all depends on where the best pricing is, for the first time in a long time producers will have optionality,” Bushell said.

No matter how fast TMX fills up, it is likely to be Canada’s last major export pipeline ever built, due to regulatory hurdles, environmental opposition and uncertainty about future oil demand.

“The potential for brand new pipelines getting built is pretty close to zero,” RBN’s King said.

By Nia Williams / Reuters , February 21, 2024

Port of Rotterdam’s Throughput Drops Amidst Global Challenges

The Port of Rotterdam is feeling the impacts of global geopolitical and economic upheavals, posting a decline in total cargo throughput and recording a near-flat change in revenues last year. For Europe’s busiest port, Russia’s war in Ukraine and the resultant sanctions, changing energy needs dynamics in Europe, weakening economic growth and faltering global trade have conspired to create a slump in performance.

In 2023, Rotterdam recorded a 6.1 percent decline in total cargo throughput, moving 438.8 million tons compared to 467.4 million tons in 2022.

The fall was mainly seen in coal throughput, containers and other dry bulk. The port still had a “stable year financially” after revenue posted a marginal increase of 1.9 percent to $909 million.

For Rotterdam, the clouds of uncertainty that started gathering in 2022 continued last year. After demand for coal rose sharply in Europe due to concerns about energy security and large increases in gas prices in 2022, last year saw more stability and a transition to LNG.

Coal throughput at the port fell by 20.3 percent to 23.1 million tons, mainly because of low demand for coal for power production. Decline in coal had the biggest impact on dry bulk throughput, which plunged by 11.8% to 70.6 million tons compared to 80 million tons in 2022.

Slowing economic growth in Europe also hit the segment, causing a striking decrease of 49.4 percent in other dry bulk.

In liquid bulk, overall throughput was 3.4 percent lower last year, down to 205.6 million tons compared to 212.7 million the previous year. Crude oil fell by 1.4 percent with the discontinuation of ship-to-ship transshipment.

On the flipside, increase in LNG imports as Europe moved to replace pipeline imports of Russian natural gas saw throughput increase by 3.7 percent to 11.9 million tons from 11.4 million tons the previous year. The port also saw more LNG bunkering activity.

Container throughput was noticeably down. Owing to lower consumption, lower production in Europe and the discontinuation of volumes to and from Russia due to sanctions, the number of TEU handled fell by seven percent to 13.4 million, down from 14.4 million the previous year. Roll-on/roll-off traffic fell by five percent, with the weak UK economy and lagging consumption being the main causes.

“2023 saw ongoing geopolitical unrest, low economic growth due to higher interest rates and faltering global trade, all of which had a logical effect on throughput in the port of Rotterdam,” said Boudewijn Siemons, Port of Rotterdam Authority CEO.

Despite facing a turbulent year, which the authority expects to continue this year in what is already shaping up as unpredictable, Rotterdam is advancing investments to transition the port to a sustainable facility. Last year the Port Authority invested a total of $319.5 million on key projects. Key investments are also lined up for implementation this year, some of which are critical in Rotterdam’s energy transition ambitions

BY THE MARITIME EXECUTIVE / February 21, 2024